Error of 10 highest peaks
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standard errors
48h forecast range average
| mean error/bias: | -8.6 |
| mean abs. error: | 14.1 |
| r.m.s. error: | 17.5 |
| standard dev.: | 15.2 |
| corr. coefficient: | 0.75 |
| expl. variance: | 0.41 |
short range (1-6h) peak error
| date | peak | error |
| 2004-11-23 05z | 103 | -22 |
| 2004-11-18 18z | 91 | -15 |
| 2004-12-23 16z | 82 | -12 |
| 2004-12-29 07z | 79 | -29 |
| 2004-11-13 18z | 71 | -20 |
| 2004-11-23 18z | 68 | -32 |
| 2004-12-18 15z | 67 | -6 |
| 2004-12-24 04z | 67 | 1 |
| 2004-12-20 02z | 67 | -20 |
| 2004-10-26 17z | 62 | -36 |
| mean peak error: | -21.0 |
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