North Sea - Baltic Sea ocean models
Cmod: Operational storm surge model from 2008 onwards. 3-dimensional ocean model. 2-10 km resolution. Forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts, supplemented by DMI-HIRLAM T15 forecasts.
Staumod: 2-dimensional version of Cmod. 10 km resolution
Mog2d: Modèle aux ondes de gravité. Finite element model. Variable resolution . Forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts. Stopped 2011.
Mike21: The DMI operational storm surge model, until 2007. 0.6-18 km resolution
Run in two versions:
HIR: forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts
UKM: forced by UK-lam forecasts
We compare one calendar year of observed and hindcasted high waters
Results - standard errors
mean error (bias)
error standard deviation
peak bias
abs. mean peak error (10 highest peaks).
All stations
Single stations
Skagen
Hirtshals
Frederikshavn
HalsBarre
Hals
Gronlandshavn
AalborgOest
AalborgOest
Aalborg
RoenbjergHuse
Loegstoer
Nibe
Hvalpsund
Hobro
Mariager
Hanstholm
Thisted
NykobingMors
Skive
Udbyhoej
Randers
Grenaa
Aarhus
Hov
HorsensS
Juelsminde
Vejle
Fredericia
Kolding
ThyboronKyst
ThyboronHavn
Ferring
Lemvig
TorsmindeKyst
HvideSandeKyst
Esbjerg
RibeKammersluse
Mando
Haderslev
Havneby
Broens
Aabenraa
BallumSluse
VidaaSlusen
Fynshav
Sonderborg
VesteroHavn
Ballen
Bogense
Gabet
OdenseFjord
Kerteminde
Slipshavn
Assens
Faaborg
Bagenkop
Spodsbjerg
SjaellandsOdde
Holbak
Kalundborg
Korsor
Hornbak
Vedbak
Kobenhavn
NordreRose
Drogden
Dragor
Roskilde
Koege
Rodvig
Karrebaeksminde
Kalvehave
Bandholm
Hesnaes
Rodby
Gedser
Tejn
Ronne
Results - peak errors
abs. mean % peak error (resultatkontrakt, 3 highest peaks).
18 stations
Frederikshavn
Loegstoer
Skive
Aarhus
Kolding
Lemvig
TorsmindeKyst
HvideSandeKyst
Esbjerg
RibeKammersluse
Havneby
Aabenraa
VidaaSlusen
Korsor
Hornbak
Kobenhavn
Drogden
Rodby