Storm surge verification:
test model cmod
Absolute peak error in %, averaged over the top 3 peaks/14 stations (no limfjord)
Updated monthly by append
Running mean of the 12 preceding months
-------------------------------------
range    0-12 12-24 24-36 36-48 48-60
-------------------------------------
200801    9.8   9.6  11.2  13.3  15.4
200802   11.1  11.2  12.3  13.9  15.9
200803    8.8   9.1   9.1   9.2  12.2
200804    8.8   9.1   9.1   9.2  12.2
200805    8.8   9.1   9.1   9.2  12.2
200806    8.8   9.1   9.1   9.2  12.2
200807    8.8   9.1   9.1   9.2  12.2
200808   10.2  10.5  10.7  10.9  13.9
200809    9.6   9.6   9.7  10.2  12.0
200810    9.6   9.4   9.7  10.3  11.9
200811   10.0  10.3  11.4  12.0  12.8
200812   10.4  10.6  11.7  11.8  12.0
200901   10.1  11.6  12.2  12.8  12.9
200902   10.5   9.8  12.3  14.7  13.2
200903   12.7  12.1  13.8  13.6  13.4
200904   12.4  12.0  13.7  13.3  12.8
200905   12.5  12.4  13.3  12.9  12.2
200906   12.8  12.6  13.6  13.2  12.5
200907   12.5  12.4  13.1  12.9  12.5
200908   12.8  12.6  13.6  13.2  12.5
200909   11.2  11.1  12.9  12.6  12.2
200910   11.8  11.2  12.9  14.0  12.5
200911   11.8  11.5  13.2  16.0  17.0
200912   12.7  12.1  14.2  17.0  18.2
201001   12.3  11.7  13.6  17.5  18.4
201002   12.2  11.7  13.6  17.4  18.3
201003   11.8  12.1  12.3  12.4  14.0
201004   12.2  11.7  13.6  17.3  19.0
201005   12.2  11.7  13.6  17.3  19.0
201006   12.0  11.9  12.3  12.2  13.6
201007   12.2  12.1  12.4  12.4  13.8
201008   12.4  12.3  13.8  16.5  19.0
201009   12.6  12.4  12.9  13.7  14.7
201010   12.6  12.0  12.8  12.8  14.0
201011   13.6  12.8  13.2  14.3  14.5
201012   14.6  12.6  13.1  14.1  14.0
201101   13.6  12.4  12.1  13.5  13.1
201102   11.9  12.1  12.9  13.1  14.1
201103   12.1  12.6  13.3  12.7  13.6
201104   11.8  11.7  12.5  12.8  13.0
201105   11.7  11.6  12.4  12.6  12.9
201106   11.5  11.7  12.5  12.6  12.9
201107   11.7  11.7  12.3  12.4  12.9
-------------------------------------
demoted to backup model
-------------------------------------
201108   12.5
201109   12.8
201111   14.5
201112   14.5
201201   12.0
201202   12.0
201203   11.9
201204   12.0
201205   11.9
201206   11.9
201207   11.9
201208   11.9
201209   11.8
201210   11.9
201211   10.6
201212    9.9
201301   12.5
201302   11.4
201303   11.7
201304   11.9
201305   11.9
201306   12.1
201307   11.5
201308   12.1
201309   10.9
201310   11.6
201311   11,6
201312   12,0
201401   14,1
201402   16,7
201403   15,8
201404   15,4
201405   15,2
201406   15,2
201407   73,6
201408   72,4
201409   71,6
201410   72,2
201411   65,2
201412   19,9
201501   19,4
201502   16,6
201503   17,6
201504   69,0
201505   69,1
201506   56,0
201507   65,6
201508   63,0
201509   74,2
201510   76,3
201511   63,4
201512   17,4
201601   78,3
201602   50,1
201603  999,0