Storm surge verification: Model : Mike21 Absolute peak error in %, averaged over the top 3 peaks/18 stations Updated monthly by append Running mean of the 12 preceding months ------------------------------------------------------------ range Avg. 0-6 6-12 12-18 18-24 24-30 30-36 36-42 42-48 ------------------------------------------------------------ 200401 23.3 22.4 22.2 23.2 23.9 22.4 25.0 24.2 23.2 200402 23.4 21.8 21.9 22.8 23.3 21.9 25.8 24.9 24.5 200403 22.7 21.0 20.6 21.4 21.9 22.6 24.1 25.2 25.1 200404 22.9 21.0 20.5 21.2 22.5 23.3 24.4 26.0 24.5 200405 23.1 21.2 21.0 21.7 22.4 23.3 24.3 25.9 25.3 200406 23.0 21.1 20.6 21.5 22.5 23.0 24.5 26.1 25.0 200407 22.9 20.9 20.6 21.3 22.4 23.0 24.4 26.2 24.7 200408 22.9 20.9 20.5 21.3 22.4 23.0 24.4 26.2 24.7 200409 21.9 20.5 19.7 20.7 21.3 22.4 22.1 24.3 23.8 200410 22.1 20.6 20.0 20.8 21.1 22.9 22.9 24.7 23.8 200411 21.9 19.2 19.4 20.1 20.2 22.6 23.6 24.7 25.8 200412 21.1 17.5 17.4 17.8 18.7 22.3 23.7 24.1 26.9 200501 18.4 15.8 16.1 17.2 16.5 18.0 19.3 21.5 22.6 200502 17.6 14.4 15.0 15.8 15.6 17.8 19.4 21.5 21.7 200503 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200504 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200505 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200506 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200507 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.7 19.4 19.2 21.0 200508 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.7 19.4 19.2 21.1 200509 17.1 13.7 14.7 15.5 15.7 17.7 19.5 19.2 21.1 200510 17.1 13.7 14.7 15.5 15.7 17.7 19.5 19.2 21.3 200511 16.8 14.3 14.7 15.2 16.4 17.8 18.8 18.8 18.4 200512 16.3 14.9 14.9 15.3 14.9 16.2 17.8 17.9 18.4 200601 20.4 19.0 17.8 17.9 20.5 22.3 22.4 21.9 21.3 200602 21.6 22.7 21.5 21.2 21.5 20.9 20.9 22.5 21.3 200603 21.7 22.7 21.6 21.3 21.3 20.6 21.3 22.7 21.9 200604 21.0 22.1 21.0 20.7 20.8 20.0 20.5 22.2 21.0 200605 22.0 23.0 22.0 21.6 21.8 20.8 21.6 23.0 22.0 200606 21.7 22.7 21.6 21.3 21.3 20.6 21.3 22.7 21.9 200607 21.8 23.0 21.9 21.4 21.6 20.6 21.3 22.7 21.8 200608 21.8 22.8 21.8 21.6 21.4 20.5 21.4 23.0 21.9 200609 21.4 22.2 21.1 20.5 21.2 20.4 21.5 22.5 21.6 200610 24.5 25.4 23.9 23.7 24.7 23.9 24.5 25.7 24.1 200611 23.2 23.1 22.5 23.1 22.9 23.7 23.5 24.0 22.8 200612 26.0 23.8 24.0 24.3 25.0 26.3 27.8 27.7 29.1 200701 15.0 14.8 15.1 15.1 14.9 14.6 14.8 15.0 15.4 200702 15.3 15.1 15.4 15.3 14.9 14.8 15.1 15.5 16.0 200703 16.8 16.1 16.4 15.9 15.9 16.8 16.9 19.0 17.1 200704 17.1 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 16.8 17.2 19.8 18.0 200705 16.8 16.1 16.4 15.9 15.9 16.8 16.9 19.0 17.1 200706 16.8 16.1 16.4 15.9 15.9 16.8 16.9 19.0 17.1 200707 17.1 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 16.8 17.2 19.8 18.1 200708 17.1 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 16.8 17.2 19.8 18.0 200709 16.8 16.2 16.4 16.1 16.2 16.7 17.0 18.7 17.4 200710 17.1 17.7 18.0 17.4 16.5 15.7 15.7 18.0 17.5 200711 16.5 16.1 16.3 15.5 15.7 15.6 15.5 18.1 18.8 200712 16.4 16.1 16.3 15.5 15.7 15.5 15.3 18.0 18.8