Storm surge verification: Model : Mike21 Absolute peak error in %, averaged over the top 3 peaks/18 stations Updated monthly by append Running mean of the 12 preceding months ------------------------------------------------------------ range Avg. 0-6 6-12 12-18 18-24 24-30 30-36 36-42 42-48 ------------------------------------------------------------ 200401 23.3 22.4 22.2 23.2 23.9 22.4 25.0 24.2 23.2 200402 23.4 21.8 21.9 22.8 23.3 21.9 25.8 24.9 24.5 200403 22.7 21.0 20.6 21.4 21.9 22.6 24.1 25.2 25.1 200404 22.9 21.0 20.5 21.2 22.5 23.3 24.4 26.0 24.5 200405 23.1 21.2 21.0 21.7 22.4 23.3 24.3 25.9 25.3 200406 23.0 21.1 20.6 21.5 22.5 23.0 24.5 26.1 25.0 200407 22.9 20.9 20.6 21.3 22.4 23.0 24.4 26.2 24.7 200408 22.9 20.9 20.5 21.3 22.4 23.0 24.4 26.2 24.7 200409 21.9 20.5 19.7 20.7 21.3 22.4 22.1 24.3 23.8 200410 22.1 20.6 20.0 20.8 21.1 22.9 22.9 24.7 23.8 200411 21.9 19.2 19.4 20.1 20.2 22.6 23.6 24.7 25.8 200412 21.1 17.5 17.4 17.8 18.7 22.3 23.7 24.1 26.9 200501 18.4 15.8 16.1 17.2 16.5 18.0 19.3 21.5 22.6 200502 17.6 14.4 15.0 15.8 15.6 17.8 19.4 21.5 21.7 200503 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200504 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200505 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200506 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.0 17.6 19.5 19.2 21.1 200507 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.7 19.4 19.2 21.0 200508 17.3 14.1 15.0 15.9 16.1 17.7 19.4 19.2 21.1 200509 17.1 13.7 14.7 15.5 15.7 17.7 19.5 19.2 21.1 200510 17.1 13.7 14.7 15.5 15.7 17.7 19.5 19.2 21.3 200511 16.8 14.3 14.7 15.2 16.4 17.8 18.8 18.8 18.4 200512 16.3 14.9 14.9 15.3 14.9 16.2 17.8 17.9 18.4 200601 20.4 19.0 17.8 17.9 20.5 22.3 22.4 21.9 21.3 200602 21.6 22.7 21.5 21.2 21.5 20.9 20.9 22.5 21.3 200603 21.7 22.7 21.6 21.3 21.3 20.6 21.3 22.7 21.9 200604 21.0 22.1 21.0 20.7 20.8 20.0 20.5 22.2 21.0 200605 22.0 23.0 22.0 21.6 21.8 20.8 21.6 23.0 22.0 200606 21.7 22.7 21.6 21.3 21.3 20.6 21.3 22.7 21.9 200607 21.8 23.0 21.9 21.4 21.6 20.6 21.3 22.7 21.8 200608 21.8 22.8 21.8 21.6 21.4 20.5 21.4 23.0 21.9 200609 21.4 22.2 21.1 20.5 21.2 20.4 21.5 22.5 21.6 200610 24.5 25.4 23.9 23.7 24.7 23.9 24.5 25.7 24.1 200611 23.2 23.1 22.5 23.1 22.9 23.7 23.5 24.0 22.8 200612 26.0 23.8 24.0 24.3 25.0 26.3 27.8 27.7 29.1 200701 15.0 14.8 15.1 15.1 14.9 14.6 14.8 15.0 15.4 200702 15.3 15.1 15.4 15.3 14.9 14.8 15.1 15.5 16.0 200703 16.8 16.1 16.4 15.9 15.9 16.8 16.9 19.0 17.1 200704 17.1 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 16.8 17.2 19.8 18.0 200705 16.8 16.1 16.4 15.9 15.9 16.8 16.9 19.0 17.1 200706 16.8 16.1 16.4 15.9 15.9 16.8 16.9 19.0 17.1 200707 17.1 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 16.8 17.2 19.8 18.1 200708 17.1 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 16.8 17.2 19.8 18.0 200709 16.8 16.2 16.4 16.1 16.2 16.7 17.0 18.7 17.4 200710 17.1 17.7 18.0 17.4 16.5 15.7 15.7 18.0 17.5 200711 16.5 16.1 16.3 15.5 15.7 15.6 15.5 18.1 18.8 200712 16.4 16.1 16.3 15.5 15.7 15.5 15.3 18.0 18.8 Storm surge verification: test model cmod Absolute peak error in %, averaged over the top 3 peaks/14 stations (no limfjord) Updated monthly by append Running mean of the 12 preceding months ------------------------------------- range 0-12 12-24 24-36 36-48 48-60 ------------------------------------- 200801 9.8 9.6 11.2 13.3 15.4 200802 11.1 11.2 12.3 13.9 15.9 200803 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.2 12.2 200804 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.2 12.2 200805 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.2 12.2 200806 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.2 12.2 200807 8.8 9.1 9.1 9.2 12.2 200808 10.2 10.5 10.7 10.9 13.9 200809 9.6 9.6 9.7 10.2 12.0 200810 9.6 9.4 9.7 10.3 11.9 200811 10.0 10.3 11.4 12.0 12.8 200812 10.4 10.6 11.7 11.8 12.0 200901 10.1 11.6 12.2 12.8 12.9 200902 10.5 9.8 12.3 14.7 13.2 200903 12.7 12.1 13.8 13.6 13.4 200904 12.4 12.0 13.7 13.3 12.8 200905 12.5 12.4 13.3 12.9 12.2 200906 12.8 12.6 13.6 13.2 12.5 200907 12.5 12.4 13.1 12.9 12.5 200908 12.8 12.6 13.6 13.2 12.5 200909 11.2 11.1 12.9 12.6 12.2 200910 11.8 11.2 12.9 14.0 12.5 200911 11.8 11.5 13.2 16.0 17.0 200912 12.7 12.1 14.2 17.0 18.2 201001 12.3 11.7 13.6 17.5 18.4 201002 12.2 11.7 13.6 17.4 18.3 201003 11.8 12.1 12.3 12.4 14.0 201004 12.2 11.7 13.6 17.3 19.0 201005 12.2 11.7 13.6 17.3 19.0 201006 12.0 11.9 12.3 12.2 13.6 201007 12.2 12.1 12.4 12.4 13.8 201008 12.4 12.3 13.8 16.5 19.0 201009 12.6 12.4 12.9 13.7 14.7 201010 12.6 12.0 12.8 12.8 14.0 201011 13.6 12.8 13.2 14.3 14.5 201012 14.6 12.6 13.1 14.1 14.0 201101 13.6 12.4 12.1 13.5 13.1 201102 11.9 12.1 12.9 13.1 14.1 201103 12.1 12.6 13.3 12.7 13.6 201104 11.8 11.7 12.5 12.8 13.0 201105 11.7 11.6 12.4 12.6 12.9 201106 11.5 11.7 12.5 12.6 12.9 201107 11.7 11.7 12.3 12.4 12.9 ------------------------------------- demoted to backup model ------------------------------------- Storm surge verification: Model : dkss_all Absolute peak error in %, averaged over the top 3 peaks/18 stations Updated monthly by append Running mean of the 12 preceding months ------------------------------------------------------------------ range 0-6 6-12 12-18 18-24 24-30 30-36 36-42 42-48 48-54 54-60 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 201111 12.3 11.2 10.8 11.0 11.0 9.8 12.3 12.3 13.7 15.1 201112 11.2 10.0 9.2 10.7 9.7 8.8 10.3 11.9 11.6 14.6 201201 9.9 8.5 8.0 9.1 8.7 8.0 9.2 10.5 11.1 12.5 201202 10.0 8.5 8.6 9.4 8.7 8.6 9.7 11.1 11.2 12.1 201203 10.0 8.5 8.6 9.4 8.7 8.6 9.7 11.1 11.2 12.1 201204 10.1 8.7 8.8 9.7 8.9 8.8 9.8 11.2 11.2 12.1 201205 10.0 8.5 8.6 9.4 8.7 8.6 9.7 11.1 11.2 12.1 201206 10.0 8.5 8.6 9.4 8.7 8.6 9.7 11.1 11.2 12.1 201207 10.2 8.8 8.6 9.5 8.6 8.7 9.6 11.0 10.9 12.3 201208 10.2 8.8 8.6 9.5 8.6 8.7 9.6 11.0 10.9 12.3 201209 10.1 8.7 8.8 9.7 8.9 8.8 9.8 11.2 11.2 12.1 201210 10.1 8.6 8.4 9.3 8.4 8.5 9.6 11.0 11.0 12.3 201211 9.2 8.1 8.4 9.0 8.1 8.4 8.8 10.2 10.1 10.0 201212 7.8 7.8 8.9 8.5 8.1 7.9 9.1 9.8 8.8 9.1 201301 11.5 12.1 13.2 13.0 12.5 13.1 13.4 15.1 13.8 15.5 201302 11.5 11.7 12.3 11.7 11.8 12.1 11.8 14.2 13.7 14.9 201303 10.7 10.9 11.4 10.4 10.9 11.2 11.1 13.3 13.0 14.5 201304 10.4 10.6 11.1 10.5 10.7 11.0 10.9 13.2 12.6 13.7 201305 10.4 10.6 11.1 10.5 10.7 11.0 10.9 13.2 12.6 13.7 201306 10.6 10.8 11.3 10.4 10.9 11.1 11.3 13.4 12.5 14.4 201307 10.1 10.3 10.8 10.1 10.3 10.7 10.4 12.9 12.4 13.8 201308 10.6 10.8 11.3 10.4 10.9 11.1 11.3 13.4 12.5 14.4 201309 9.7 10.3 10.3 9.5 10.2 10.2 10.6 13.0 11.9 13.6 201310 9.9 10.8 10.9 9.1 10.7 10.7 11.8 13.7 16.5 17.4 201401 12,8 12,8 14,3 10,9 14,6 15,4 17,9 20,2 28,1 27,2 201402 13,2 13,1 14,9 10,5 15,3 16,4 19,3 21,4 29,7 26,8 201403 13,4 13,4 15,7 11,3 16,5 17,7 19,9 21,5 30,2 27,6 201404 13,0 13,1 15,1 11,9 15,8 16,7 18,5 20,2 28,5 28,0 201405 12,6 12,7 14,7 10,9 14,4 15,6 17,9 19,8 29,5 29,7 201406 12,6 12,7 14,7 10,9 14,4 15,6 17,9 19,8 29,5 29,7 201407 12,6 12,7 14,7 10,9 14,4 15,6 17,9 19,8 29,5 29,7 201408 12,6 12,7 14,7 10,9 14,4 15,6 17,9 19,8 29,5 29,7 201409 13,1 13,1 15,4 10,4 15,3 16,9 19,6 21,4 31,3 29,0 201410 13,5 13,9 13,6 15,9 15,0 14,1 13,6 17,1 14,8 13,9 201411 19,0 19,1 19,2 23,1 21,2 20,9 19,9 24,9 22,4 19,0 201412 17,1 17,4 18,3 21,3 19,6 19,3 17,5 20,2 18,4 16,1 201501 6,6 6,5 6,5 6,8 6,6 7,3 7,4 8,5 8,5 9,9 201502 6,8 6,7 7,0 7,2 7,1 7,4 7,6 8,2 8,4 9,5 201503 7,9 7,8 8,0 8,3 8,6 8,9 7,7 8,5 8,7 9,8 201504 7,9 7,8 8,0 8,3 8,6 8,9 7,7 8,5 8,7 9,7 201505 7,6 7,6 8,0 8,1 8,5 8,7 7,9 8,4 8,6 9,8 201506 7,7 7,7 8,0 8,2 8,6 8,9 8,0 8,5 8,7 10,1 201507 9,2 9,0 9,3 9,5 9,9 10,2 9,2 9,7 9,9 11,3 201508 9,1 8,8 9,1 9,4 9,8 10,0 9,2 9,7 9,8 11,1 201509 9,0 8,7 9,1 9,3 9,7 9,9 9,1 9,6 9,8 11,0 201510 9,0 8,7 9,1 9,3 9,5 9,8 8,9 9,5 9,8 10,7 201511 9,9 9,4 9,0 9,9 11,3 10,8 9,5 10,9 11,7 13,1 201512 10,0 9,5 9,5 10,1 11,2 11,0 10,2 11,4 12,2 13,9 201601 26,3 26,3 26,9 28,1 30,2 28,5 22,2 25,8 29,3 28,2 201602 29,6 29,3 28,5 28,1 32,5 33,6 26,6 31,1 34,4 34,8 201603 86,8 86,0 86,0 86,0 86,4 86,8 86,4 86,4 86,4 86,8