Sea level verification
opr/test model intercomparison 2008
DMI models
Dansk version

North Sea - Baltic Sea ocean models

Cmod: Operational storm surge model from 2008 onwards. 3-dimensional ocean model. 2-10 km resolution. Forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts, supplemented by DMI-HIRLAM T15 forecasts.

Staumod: 2-dimensional version of Cmod. 10 km resolution

Mog2d: Modèle aux ondes de gravité. Finite element model. Variable resolution . Forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts

Mike21: The DMI operational storm surge model, until 2007. 0.6-18 km resolution
Run in two versions:
HIR: forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts
UKM: forced by UK-lam forecasts

We compare one calendar year of observed and hindcasted high waters

Results - standard errors

mean error (bias)
error standard deviation
peak bias
abs. mean peak error (10 highest peaks).

All stations



Single stations

Skagen Hirtshals Frederikshavn HalsBarre Hals AalborgOest AalborgOest Aalborg RoenbjergHuse Loegstoer Nibe Hvalpsund Hanstholm Thisted NykobingMors Skive Grenaa Aarhus Horsens Juelsminde Vejle Fredericia Kolding ThyboronKyst Ferring Lemvig TorsmindeKyst HvideSandeKyst Esbjerg RibeKammersluse Mando Haderslev Havneby Broens Aabenraa BallumSluse VidaaSlusen Fynshav Sonderborg Ballen Bogense OdenseFjord Slipshavn Assens Faaborg Bagenkop Spodsbjerg SjaellandsOdde Kalundborg Korsor Hornbak Kobenhavn NordreRose Drogden Rodvig Karrebaeksminde Kalvehave Hesnaes Rodby Gedser Tejn Ronne

Results - peak errors

abs. mean % peak error (resultatkontrakt, 3 highest peaks).

18 stations

Frederikshavn Loegstoer Skive Aarhus Kolding Lemvig TorsmindeKyst HvideSandeKyst Esbjerg RibeKammersluse Havneby Aabenraa VidaaSlusen Korsor Hornbak Kobenhavn Drogden Rodby

....................

Jacob Woge Nielsen - 08 Jan 2009