Sea level verification
opr/test model intercomparison 2012
DMI models
Dansk version

North Sea - Baltic Sea ocean models

Cmod: Operational storm surge model from 2008 onwards. 3-dimensional ocean model. 2-10 km resolution. Forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts, supplemented by DMI-HIRLAM T15 forecasts.

Staumod: 2-dimensional version of Cmod. 10 km resolution

Mog2d: Modèle aux ondes de gravité. Finite element model. Variable resolution . Forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts. Stopped 2011.

Mike21: The DMI operational storm surge model, until 2007. 0.6-18 km resolution
Run in two versions:
HIR: forced by DMI-HIRLAM S05 forecasts
UKM: forced by UK-lam forecasts

We compare one calendar year of observed and hindcasted high waters

Results - standard errors

mean error (bias)
error standard deviation
peak bias
abs. mean peak error (10 highest peaks).

All stations



Single stations

Skagen Hirtshals Frederikshavn HalsBarre Hals Gronlandshavn AalborgOest AalborgOest Aalborg RoenbjergHuse Loegstoer Nibe Hvalpsund Hobro Mariager Hanstholm Thisted NykobingMors Skive Udbyhoej Randers Grenaa Aarhus Hov HorsensS Juelsminde Vejle Fredericia Kolding ThyboronKyst ThyboronHavn Ferring Lemvig TorsmindeKyst HvideSandeKyst Esbjerg RibeKammersluse Mando Haderslev Havneby Broens Aabenraa BallumSluse VidaaSlusen Fynshav Sonderborg VesteroHavn Ballen Bogense Gabet OdenseFjord Kerteminde Slipshavn Assens Faaborg Bagenkop Spodsbjerg SjaellandsOdde Holbak Kalundborg Korsor Hornbak Vedbak Kobenhavn NordreRose Drogden Dragor Roskilde Koege Rodvig Karrebaeksminde Kalvehave Bandholm Hesnaes Rodby Gedser Tejn Ronne

Results - peak errors

abs. mean % peak error (resultatkontrakt, 3 highest peaks).

18 stations

Frederikshavn Loegstoer Skive Aarhus Kolding Lemvig TorsmindeKyst HvideSandeKyst Esbjerg RibeKammersluse Havneby Aabenraa VidaaSlusen Korsor Hornbak Kobenhavn Drogden Rodby


Jacob Woge Nielsen - 26 Sep 2013